Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 22, 2020

November 22, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Save the Story 1.80 4 8-1
6 6 Our Romance 2.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 It’s a Riddle 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 She’s a Lady Griz 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Misty At the Top 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Stylish in Red 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Magical Smile 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Keep It Classy 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Our Bonnie Lass 12.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 La Dolfina 15.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Life Is Good 0.80 1.4 3-1
6 5 Wipe the Slate 4.00 3 6-1
3 2 Scales of Justice 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Roman Centurian 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Santos to Wilson 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Democrat 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Claro Que Si 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Florentine Diamond 5.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Mariah Girl (ARG) 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Roses and Candy 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Brittle and Yoo 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Acai 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Flat Out Joy 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Dairy Kid 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Boonesboro Beauty 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Paige Runner 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Shoe Game 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Free My Soul 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Happy Happy Happy 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Born to Reign 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Fruitfully 15.00 7.6 14-1
7 6 Hit It Twice 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Peach Time 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Soothing 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Queen’s Code 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Fat Stacks 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Crankin 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Battling Gervinho 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Zero Down 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Master Ryan 1.20 4.6 9-1
1 1 Verry Bossy 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Dynamic Duo 30.00 9.8 19-1
9 9 Assistant 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bang for Your Buck 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Star Racer 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Question Authority 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shimmer Me Timbers 2.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Big Well 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Joe Don Looney 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Crash Corrigan 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Detective Bernardo 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Big Endeavor 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 My Child Sbud 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Careless Kitten 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ekklesia 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 I’m Leaving You 5.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Rip City 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Tripoli 3.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 American Farmer 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Wayne O 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Time to Testify 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Defense Wins 12.00 5 10-1
2 2 Goalie 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Lolo Paniolo 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cary Grant S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Take the One O One 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Galilean 2.50 4 8-1
6 6 El Tigre Terrible 3.50 4.2 8-1
10 10 Rookie Mistake 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Loud Mouth 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bettor Trip Nick 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Oliver 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Appreciated 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Brickyard Ride 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Surfing Star 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Misty Cat 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Quick and Dirty 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Basil Flavor 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Itainteasybeingray 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Chicks Dig Munny 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Cutetip 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Malibu Hannah 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Redemption Code 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Derby Quest 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Bingos System 20.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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