November 26, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Skycraft | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Go for Moonshine | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Cap Rock Miner | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Son of a Saint | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Hideaway Hero | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Grand Marais | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Beauty Boy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Trapper Peak | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Common Law Cat | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Amazing American | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Sir Pokerface | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
11 | 11 | Amazing Sound | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Clever Racer | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Ide B a Winner | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
10 | 10 | Martin G | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Silent Cry | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Too Much Bourbon | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
7 | 7 | First Metal Count | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
12 | 12 | Shaq Jack | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
13 | 13 | Royal Galaxy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Grand Little Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Coach O’Shea | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | C F Johnathan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Doug’s Bug | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 5 | Treys Midnite Moon | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 2 | Killeen | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
7 | 3 | Chop Chop Charlie | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
4 | 1 | Broken Key | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
10 | 4 | Woman With a Book | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Foldover | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Executive Bonus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Freedom Factor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Lethal Move | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | River Evangelist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | War Film | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Meseta Diablo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | A P Is Loose | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Independent Worker | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Delta Traveler | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
9 | 9 | Mollys Flyin High | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Ours Forever | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mrs. Judy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | G’s a Looker | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Halfglamorous | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Lucky Linda | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
12 | 12 | Opps My Bad | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
11 | 11 | Ibegtodiffer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Singing n’ Praying | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sumitup | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
7 | 7 | A. K. A. Grams | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
13 | 13 | Harriet’s Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 10 | Luck of the Draw | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
12 | 9 | Love Conquers | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
10 | 7 | Reluctant Warrior | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | Guitar Tribute | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
9 | 6 | Imindycatbirdseat | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
4 | 3 | Rahfees Man | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
14 | 11 | In Charge Halo | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
7 | 5 | Stuck in Vegas | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
11 | 8 | Remembermis | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
3 | 2 | Bold Zarb | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Papa’s Boy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Star Banjo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Mangelsen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Cajun Pinata | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Free Indeed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 1 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Kinetic Sky | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
2 | 1 | Proxy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Go West | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Plucky Strike | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | K Rules | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
1A | 8 | Oxwood | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
1 | 5 | Run Far | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
4 | 3 | Afwan | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
6 | 5 | Big Lake | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 3 | Logical Myth | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
10 | 4 | Andesite | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
2 | 1 | Silver N Lai | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 2 | Fielder | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | On a Spree | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Oak Hill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Honovi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Vinyl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Star of Kodiak | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Gunnison | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Bundibunan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Fly the W | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 6 | Post Close | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
11 | 5 | Leader of Men | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Thanksgiving Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Manny Wah | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Nitrous | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Bobby’s Wicked One | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Landeskog | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 6 | Mr Money Bags | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tringale | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Chublicious | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | He’s Smokin Now | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Disobedient | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
15 | 10 | Lemon Chill | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Audrey’s Time | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | By the Book | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Fort Polk | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 1 | American Dream | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
12 | 7 | Alliaceous | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
14 | 9 | Sweet Blindness | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
6 | 5 | Widow of Nain | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
13 | 8 | Lil Ashley B. | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Zero to Sixty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | I Hear You | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Marywood | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | More Good Times | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Elle M’a Souri (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Shades of Truth | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Australasia | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | Smittys Barracuda | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Hong Kong Strong | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
5 | 4 | World War | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Strummer | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | G’s Squeeze | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Inawic | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
11 | 10 | Platinum Sky | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Audacious Girl | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
12 | 11 | Fuhr Meo | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
3 | 3 | Gone Midnight | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Debs Prayer | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.