November 29, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Determined Fury | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Growl Tiger | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Instinctive Rhythm | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | O’Trouble | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Clemenza | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Knockout Punch | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Perfect Munnings | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
10 | 9 | Dancing Buck | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | On Mick’s Day | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Mr Hot Chacha | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Heymackit’sjack | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
11 | 10 | Masked Marauder | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Bolgheri | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Loulovestheriver | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Never Evolved | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
9 | 9 | Mr Breadwinner | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Data Deal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Martinez | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Mambonick | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Purple Hearted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | What’s My Category | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Takecareyallchickn | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Compliant | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Glynn County | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Bluegrass Parkway | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Bakers Bay | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Box N Score | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Obsessed | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Cowtown | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Cibolian | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
3 | 3 | Dante’s Fire | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | The Sound | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Fort Worth | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Adare | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Family Biz | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Vintage Hollywood | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | American Rule | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Scoreswhenhewants | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Caramel Swirl | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
9 | 7 | Paradise Song | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Precipitate | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Miss Brazil | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Soma | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Dealing Justice | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Firing Carol | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | Just Read It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Shop Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | My Delicious | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Stunning Princess | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Technical Analysis (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Wow | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
11 | 10 | Cadencia | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
10 | 9 | Third Draft | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1A | 1 | Mo Spicy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Single Soul (GB) | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
12 | 11 | Irish Crush (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
6A | 6 | Cash Refund (GB) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
5 | 5 | Fuchsia | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
4 | 4 | Fool Yourself | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
9 | 9 | Autostrada | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Obligatory | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Autumn Days S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Madeleine Must (FR) | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Risky Mischief | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Lead Guitar | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | A Great Time | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Mentality | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
11 | 10 | My Sassy Sarah | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | I’llhandalthecash | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ode to Joy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
6 | 5 | Saratoga Treasure | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Rose Flower (GER) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Malibu Mischief | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Timely Tradition | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Bridlewood Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Dendrobia | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fall Highweight H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Majestic Dunhill | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Stan the Man | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Share the Ride | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Drafted | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Tribecca | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Arch Cat | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Absentee | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tepin S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Lovestruck | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
10 | 7 | Island Treasure | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
11 | 8 | Fifth Risk | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Invincible Gal (GB) | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Lexinator | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Big Time Lady | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Thursday | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Hit the Woah | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Dollar Mountain | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Malibu Curl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Frost Me | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 6 | Bravo Regina | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Unprecedented | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Montauk Daddy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Grandmas Favorite | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 9 | Propensity | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Smite | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Red Mule | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Daring Disguise | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Implied Volatility | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Threepointninenine | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
11 | 11 | Quid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Disciplanarian | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | False Alarm | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Embeed | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Mr. Fidget | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Beta | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | My Amanjena | 50.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.