November 29, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Neon Sky | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Jam | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | V Man | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lead Star | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dream Halo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Humphrey | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Richie Gary | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Queen of the Lane | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princesa Blanca | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goingtoagogo | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linda Got Lucky | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Got Wings | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Annie’s Shenanigan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bee House | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Miss Jamie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Schnell | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Get Them Justin | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Creole Charlie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Janets Jay Jay | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Two Times | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foolish Dreams | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Madame Ready | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Big Green | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Carson’s Princess | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Montpelier | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Italian Twin | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Workout | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Joie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bunnings (BRZ) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bee a Winner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sisi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Transient (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Purgerator | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Available Star | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Southern Light | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Old Hat | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adieu Galaxy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | C F Johnathan | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ide Like Hawaii | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Youcanbetonme | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starvictory | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rivers Rising | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Prince Carlos | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Prairie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Clarestown | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Invincibility | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emerald Forest | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cees Get Degrees | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Blushinstreetdevil | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Citadel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Leroy Jenkins | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Foliage | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | California Holiday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Heals the Soul | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pure Valor | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Richard Ronald | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farewell Time | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Disapproval | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whacudposblygowrng | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lenape Drive | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Caeus in Pasadena | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Gallop | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Makeithappen | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luvmewhenimgone | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flash Dancerluck | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harbor Knight | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 7 | Walk Me Home | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Adventuring | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Rumpus | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Calle de Llora | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Becca’s Rocket | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Peace Nicker | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Megan’s Clara | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Point of Infinity | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Baby Maybe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Unwanted Input | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Laugh It Off | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Run Girl Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Poets Princess | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Fancy Gi Gi | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Diamond Lily | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Staceys Racey | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Presley Fire | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talented Tapper | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Danza Lauren | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Business Lady | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | J Z’s First | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | D’wild Baroness | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Roman Jewels | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming of Curlin | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Cut | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cajun Music | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tuffology | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Madison’s Place | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star’s Dream | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iona Guitar | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emery’s Dream | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Floatie | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mane Priority | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sandy’s Wager | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Our Lil Rascal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lucky Linz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lil Peastoch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.