January 3, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Let It B | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | In the Arch | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Poets Princess | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Passageway | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Rattlesnake River | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Papaws Boy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Barleewon | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Kinetic Swagger | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Forloveofcountry | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Have a Plan | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Healing | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Bring Me a Check | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Benelux | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Musical Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | D’wild Baroness | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lucky Linz | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | That’s a Song | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | Lagniappe | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Flat Scat | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
8 | 7 | Brooklyn Baby | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Blondie Lox Babe | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Film Study | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Indy Tourist | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Laker Mamba | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Royal Prince | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Invincibility | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Excess Magic | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | No Exaggeration | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 10 | Half Mine | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mane Priority | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tuffology | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Beautifulandwild | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
10 | 9 | Custom Cut | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Madison’s Place | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
9 | 8 | Iona Guitar | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
7 | 6 | Stang It | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
4 | 4 | Cajun Music | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
5 | 5 | Blue Ridge Heat | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Yes to Mischief | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Lea’s Princess | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
8 | 8 | Listen Up | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Heaven Escape | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Delicious Pursuit | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Sugar and Sass | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Stop War | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Dulcimer Dame | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Play Unified | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Charming Lady | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 1 | Lady of Luxury | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Specially | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Magic Dance | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Zanadu | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Sassy Seneca | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Lady Shaman | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Bye Bye Bertie | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | She Can’t Sing | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Mi Lia | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Distractor Factor | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Lebkuchen | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Exacta | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
11 | 11 | Elle Corredora | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | Sincerity | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Memory Magic | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | My Pepper Ann | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Vita | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Crimson Feline | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
12 | 12 | Lil Ashley B. | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Midnight Spirit | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Southern Light | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mucho Macho | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
12 | 9 | C F Johnathan | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Shackle the Gold | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
9 | 8 | Degrasse | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Mr. Old Hat | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | War Rogue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Antietam Road | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Theos Flew | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Adieu Galaxy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Tin Delay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Western Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Flashburn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Heza Fortune | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
2 | 2 | Brother David | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.