January 6, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Bobbies Reason | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Star’s Dream | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Younmehoneybunny | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Breezin Bye You | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Playin N Traffic | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Flash Annie | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Floatie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Sandy’s Wager | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Crazy Good | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
9 | 8 | Tornado Crossing | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Creative Legacy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Goingtoagogo | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Soft N Lovely | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | You’re Doing Fine | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Annie’s Shenanigan | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Two Skies | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Lady Hampton | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Circus | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
5 | 5 | Oxwood | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 4 | Olympic Champion | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 1 | Charity for All | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Louisville Legend | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Mr. Brutus | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Poppe Hour | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1A | 7 | Mango Tree | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Jack the Ripper (FR) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
6 | 6 | Days of Glory | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Dreammaster | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dom Caetano (ARG) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Jurisdiction | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Curlington | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Sandbagger Al | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | Junior Bug | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
11 | 11 | Shar’s Treasure | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
9 | 9 | Briar Jumper | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
5 | 5 | One Hitter | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
12 | 12 | Data Load | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Deanos Cape | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 3 | Soul Song | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
7 | 5 | Pre Heat | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
8 | 6 | Rose’s Galaxy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 7 | Fast Verdict | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
4 | 2 | Adrenaline | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 4 | Saturday’s Gold | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Half Again | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
1A | 3 | Bibleman | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 4 | Sir Pokerface | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Real News | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Born Great | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Power End | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Good One | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Seven Scents | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Its a Wrap | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Madison’s Luna | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Kadesh | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Guided Missile | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Extraordinary | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Job Security | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Glory Road | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Warrior’s Map | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Potomac | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Lethal Move | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Armchair Jockey | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Clint Maroon (GB) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Take That for Data | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Vinyl | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 7 | Stock Trade | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
12 | 10 | Late Nite Mischief | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
10 | 8 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Foldover | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
11 | 9 | Major Key | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
6 | 6 | Harvey Wallbanger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Independent Worker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Noble Egyptian | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | My Rebel Girl | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Looking Hot | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Debs Prayer | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Seeking the Stars | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Slewalyze | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Gone Midnight | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Shop Around | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Maybe Baby | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.