January 14, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Get Directions | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Money Inthe Starrs | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Cry Like a Baby | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | C’Estbon C’Estbon | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ella’s Lil Star | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Irish Priority | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Affairs Unlimited | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Changi | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
9 | 5 | Unrestricted | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
7 | 4 | Pound for Pound | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Mageez | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Underpressure | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Budro Talking | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Ninety One Assault | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | In the Navy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Afleet Ascent | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Koo Baby | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Open Tab | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Mollys Flyin High | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | G’s Mine | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Stingray Slayer | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Connie Baby | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Wild Charlie | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Magic Coy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Froideur | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Ready for Change | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
3 | 2 | It’s My Tune | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Tappin Into Summer | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Pink Posse | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
10 | 7 | G Kate | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
7 | 5 | Dynamite Gift | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
9 | 6 | Media Mendacity | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Caroline’s Story | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Ghosting Kim | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Shiningdownondalis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Jim’s Bronze Star | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Discreet Tiger | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
2 | 1 | Elusive d’Oro | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | Runchiefrun | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Yes He Can | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Steadytillready | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Red Hot Devil | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Omega Moon | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 6 | Majestic West | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 4 | Olliemyboy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 2 | Talkin Malice | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
9 | 5 | Victory Boulevard | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
5 | 1 | Maroon Maniac | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
7 | 3 | Whatdatpay Ray | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Half Ours to Keep | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Takafumi (BRZ) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Attorney Tim | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Toma Todo | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 1 | Shades of Truth | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 5 | Delta Traveler | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
12 | 9 | Thetruthisthetruth | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
13 | 10 | Hotmolly | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
11 | 8 | Elsie Girl | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 1 | Katie’s Cruise | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 2 | Resposado | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 3 | Speedy Dudette | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 4 | Sho Nuff | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
2 | 1 | Shooting Stick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 7 | Miss Kennedy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
9 | 6 | Ruby Begonia | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Platinum Sky | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 6 | Unitedandresolute | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
13 | 9 | City Mischief | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 2 | Koufax | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
6 | 3 | Revelator | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
11 | 8 | Clarestown | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 5 | Copa | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
1 | 7 | Altmeister | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
3 | 1 | Leroy Jenkins | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
1A | 14 | Weather Prayer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 1 | Temple City Blvd | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Prairie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 6 | Blushinstreetdevil | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Aimingforthestars | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 15 | Remember Hymn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 4 | Cees Get Degrees | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Gem of Carlos | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | King’s Prayer | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | First Metal Count | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Available Star | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Too Much Bourbon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Grand Little Man | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Halfourretirement | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Doug’s Bug | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
10 | 9 | Pray Ide Sing | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Diamond Palace | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.