Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 15, 2021

January 15, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Triple Americano 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 A Vow of Beauty 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Me ‘n Sap 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Tercero 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Have a Heart 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Liquor 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Black Irish 4.00 4 8-1
9 8 Freudian Analyst 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Alite 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Gratto Swing 50.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jennemily 1.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Stand for the Flag 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Foxtail 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Kansas Kis 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Flashndynamite 8.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Family Biz 3.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Home Run Maker 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 3 Reed Kan 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Vici 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 The Sicarii 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Shamrocked 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Castagno 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Commandandcontrol 2.00 1.3 2-1
9 7 Coal Shaft 5.00 1.7 3-1
8 6 Lightfoot Miss 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Obligatory 3.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Rhythm and Power 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 2 Mun Luv 8.00 4.6 9-1
7A 5 Iaintfraidanoghost 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 3 Baba 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 1 Firing Carol 30.00 6.7 13-1
2A 2 My Delicious 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Jackie Milton 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 3 Wicked Title 2.00 1.7 3-1
5B 4 Terpeye 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 La Negrita 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 7 Pendolino 4.50 2.5 5-1
6B 5 Evan’s Nice Now 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Gentle Annie 15.00 3 6-1
9 8 Alexacrat 50.00 7.5 14-1
3A 3 Dashi 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Twelfth Labour 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 4 Tri Saint Lorenzo 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Heirloom Kitten 0.80 2.9 5-1
5 3 Road to Meath 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Magnetron 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Fotis 30.00 5.6 11-1
8 6 Latin Love Bug 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Blood Moon 10.00 SCRATCH
7 5 True Blue Giant 50.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 High Velocity 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Montauk Traffic 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Zoomer 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 8 Malibu Pro 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Shotski 3.50 3 6-1
8 7 Empty Tomb 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Acker 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mad Munnys 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Kumar 20.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Ragtime Blues 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dante’s Map 4.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Kikkerland 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 What’s My Category 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Noctilucent 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sonic Speed 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 You’ve Got Male 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Capt’ Remington 12.00 4.7 9-1
10A 10 Bellamy Dolce 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Dreampoint 20.00 6.4 12-1
2A 2 Ninety Nine George 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 A Huge Checkpoint 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.