Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 15, 2021
January 15, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Triple Americano | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | A Vow of Beauty | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Me ‘n Sap | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tercero | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Have a Heart | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liquor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Black Irish | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alite | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gratto Swing | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jennemily | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stand for the Flag | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foxtail | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kansas Kis | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashndynamite | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Family Biz | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Home Run Maker | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reed Kan | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vici | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Sicarii | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shamrocked | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castagno | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Commandandcontrol | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Coal Shaft | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lightfoot Miss | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obligatory | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Rhythm and Power | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mun Luv | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Iaintfraidanoghost | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Baba | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Firing Carol | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | My Delicious | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Jackie Milton | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wicked Title | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5B | 4 | Terpeye | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Negrita | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pendolino | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6B | 5 | Evan’s Nice Now | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gentle Annie | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alexacrat | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Dashi | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Twelfth Labour | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heirloom Kitten | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Road to Meath | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnetron | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Fotis | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Latin Love Bug | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blood Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | True Blue Giant | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | High Velocity | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Montauk Traffic | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zoomer | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Malibu Pro | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shotski | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Empty Tomb | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Acker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mad Munnys | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kumar | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ragtime Blues | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dante’s Map | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kikkerland | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What’s My Category | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noctilucent | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sonic Speed | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You’ve Got Male | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capt’ Remington | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10A | 10 | Bellamy Dolce | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreampoint | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Ninety Nine George | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | A Huge Checkpoint | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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