Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 15, 2021

January 15, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Innervoice 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Mariposa d’Oro 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Two More Barbo 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Linda Got Lucky 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Diamond and Silks 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 My Heart Dominus 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Fuhrcry 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Brightnmorningstar 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Star Banjo 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Senator Con 6.00 4 8-1
9 8 Rifle Man 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Looking for Bull 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Hideaway Hero 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Social Misfit 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Take Charge Chase 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Hansen’s Holiday 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Flashy Image 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Big Gig 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Adeeb 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Windchill Zar 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Tapit’s Temple 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Dublin Yinz Money 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Easy to Miss 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Western Star 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Ronnie’s Reasoning 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Babe Reed 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Mister 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ripittotheright 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Oh My Aching Arch 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Britts a Closer 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Love That Warrior 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Reluctant Warrior 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Ibeam 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Sournois 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Special Bingo 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Jennovodka 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 My Guitar 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Binding Agreement 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Money and Me 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 C’Mon Ve 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Fast Verdict 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Commander Scott 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Nunc Pro Tunc 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Saintsgotrobbed 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fame Feather 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Mr. Al’s Gal 1.40 3.1 6-1
6 5 Royal Priority 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Nun of Ours 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Dr Liz 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Sunshine Deelite 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Play Unified 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Pauline’s Pearl 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Sister Annie 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Peace Broker 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Wicked Bisou 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Cashew 6.00 3 6-1
6 5 Hot as Blue Blazes 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Take Charge Lorin 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Della Frost 12.00 5 9-1
10 9 Faded Memories 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Total Malice 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Darain (GB) 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bundibunan 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Two Emmys 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Space Mountain 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Crypto Cash 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 On a Spree 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Merlin’s Song 12.00 6.6 13-1
11 10 Botswana 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Bond Street (IRE) 20.00 8.7 16-1
12 11 Gunnison 20.00 9.8 18-1
8 8 Leader of Men 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Zanesville 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Spa City 3.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Singapore Flash 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Custom Cut 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Just Willow 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Madison’s Place 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Lil Peastoch 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Smoothoutthetrack 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 She’s a Fair Catch 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Candy Candy Candy 15.00 7.6 14-1
13 11 Kohensrising 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 2 Whodatwhodat 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 4 Golden Expresso 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 8 Sandy’s Wager 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Louisiana Special 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Stang It 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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