January 15, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Innervoice | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Mariposa d’Oro | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Two More Barbo | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Linda Got Lucky | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Diamond and Silks | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | My Heart Dominus | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Fuhrcry | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Brightnmorningstar | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Star Banjo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Senator Con | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Rifle Man | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Looking for Bull | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Hideaway Hero | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Social Misfit | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Take Charge Chase | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Hansen’s Holiday | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
10 | 9 | Flashy Image | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Big Gig | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Adeeb | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Windchill Zar | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Tapit’s Temple | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
9 | 8 | Dublin Yinz Money | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Easy to Miss | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Western Star | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Babe Reed | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Mister | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Ripittotheright | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Oh My Aching Arch | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Britts a Closer | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Love That Warrior | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Reluctant Warrior | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
10 | 10 | Ibeam | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Sournois | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Special Bingo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Jennovodka | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | My Guitar | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Binding Agreement | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Money and Me | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | C’Mon Ve | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Fast Verdict | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Commander Scott | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Nunc Pro Tunc | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Saintsgotrobbed | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Fame Feather | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Royal Priority | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Nun of Ours | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Dr Liz | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Sunshine Deelite | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Play Unified | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Pauline’s Pearl | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Sister Annie | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Peace Broker | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 4 | Wicked Bisou | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cashew | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Hot as Blue Blazes | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Take Charge Lorin | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Della Frost | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
10 | 9 | Faded Memories | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Total Malice | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Darain (GB) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Bundibunan | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Two Emmys | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Space Mountain | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Crypto Cash | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | On a Spree | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Merlin’s Song | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
11 | 10 | Botswana | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
9 | 8 | Bond Street (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
12 | 11 | Gunnison | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
8 | 8 | Leader of Men | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Zanesville | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Spa City | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 9 | Singapore Flash | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Custom Cut | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Just Willow | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Madison’s Place | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Lil Peastoch | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
10 | 9 | Smoothoutthetrack | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
11 | 10 | She’s a Fair Catch | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
4 | 3 | Candy Candy Candy | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
13 | 11 | Kohensrising | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
3 | 2 | Whodatwhodat | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
5 | 4 | Golden Expresso | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
9 | 8 | Sandy’s Wager | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
2 | 2 | Louisiana Special | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Stang It | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.