January 15, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Expect the Sunrise | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Good Measure | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Nicolar | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Luminist | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Moonsafe | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Shabang | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Had the Notion | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
6 | 6 | Suzysellsseashells | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Vics Cool Cat | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Union Song | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Hydra | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Uno Tigress | 1.60 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Stay Out | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Elevator Shaft | 0.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Paradise Song | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Flava’s Dream | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Determined Honor | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Asbuilt | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Likely Choice | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Anna Rocks | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Persisto | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
4 | 4 | Pat’s No Fool | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Stay Smart | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
6 | 6 | Gracetown | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Daphne Moon | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Expect Indy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Point Driven | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Pay the Kid | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
9 | 9 | Glorious Weekend | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Two Doors Down | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Mega Millions | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Classy Solution | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Isabella’s Magic | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | One More Nightcap | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Catch Ya Later Bro | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Charging Lion | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Smart Two a T | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Earned It | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | He’s Zippin On By | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | King Mauro | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Empty Nestr | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Always Forgiven | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Awesome Pal | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Gennie Highway | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Savedbythebelle | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Ski Bunny | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Lookin Dynamic | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Mae Sai Princess | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Yesterdaysplan | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Fairy Wish | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Bigdaddysglory | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Step by Step | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Scamper Along | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Cougar Vision | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Sevilla Sangria | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Eight Oaks | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Majorie Mugs | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Adabel | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
10 | 10 | Scarlet Tanager | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | A Toast to Kay | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Zoinks Scooby | 20.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
9 | 9 | Uncle Cecil | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Baltinglass | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
6 | 6 | Doublbarrelbourbon | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
7 | 7 | Goldie’s Boy | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Magic of Love | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Luxero | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
11 | 11 | Spanish d’Oro | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
12 | 12 | Canherun | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
10 | 10 | Tiny Tin | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Shepherd’s Will | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Strictly Business | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.