Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 15, 2021

January 15, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Expect the Sunrise 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Good Measure 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Nicolar 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Luminist 1.60 5.3 10-1
2 2 Moonsafe 1.80 5.4 10-1
3 3 Shabang 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Had the Notion 12.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Suzysellsseashells 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Vics Cool Cat 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Union Song 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Hydra 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Uno Tigress 1.60 6.5 12-1
2 2 Stay Out 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Elevator Shaft 0.60 1.2 2-1
6 6 Paradise Song 4.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Flava’s Dream 20.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Determined Honor 12.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Asbuilt 15.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Likely Choice 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Anna Rocks 10.00 1.8 3-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Persisto 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Pat’s No Fool 12.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Stay Smart 4.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Gracetown 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Daphne Moon 1.80 1.7 3-1
3 3 Expect Indy 4.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Point Driven 1.60 1.5 3-1
2 2 Pay the Kid 12.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Glorious Weekend 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Two Doors Down 10.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Mega Millions 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Classy Solution 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Isabella’s Magic 20.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 One More Nightcap 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Catch Ya Later Bro 5.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Charging Lion 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Smart Two a T 4.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Earned It 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 He’s Zippin On By 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 King Mauro 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Empty Nestr 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Always Forgiven 4.50 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Awesome Pal 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Gennie Highway 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Savedbythebelle 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Ski Bunny 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Lookin Dynamic 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mae Sai Princess 15.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Yesterdaysplan 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Fairy Wish 15.00 2.4 5-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bigdaddysglory 15.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Step by Step 20.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Scamper Along 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Cougar Vision 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Sevilla Sangria 10.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Eight Oaks 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Majorie Mugs 20.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Adabel 3.50 2.1 4-1
10 10 Scarlet Tanager 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 A Toast to Kay 20.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zoinks Scooby 20.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Uncle Cecil 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Baltinglass 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Doublbarrelbourbon 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Goldie’s Boy 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Magic of Love 15.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Luxero 15.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Spanish d’Oro 20.00 2.3 4-1
12 12 Canherun 15.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Tiny Tin 15.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Shepherd’s Will 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Strictly Business 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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