February 6, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clever Fellow | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neuro | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jade’s Dream | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Code | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shinjuku | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Me ‘n Sap | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Number One Dillon | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cohiba Ghost | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Victory Built | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bronxville | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blues City | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Implied Volatility | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | David’s Gem | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Have a Heart | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Needacarcalllouie | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3B | 3 | Absolute Privilege | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Streetcar Jones | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnificent Mags | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8B | 8 | Tourist Attraction | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stepitupstephanie | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jordy Can Tap | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cashmere Queen | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stoneharbor Blonde | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sneakiness | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vici | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reed Kan | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Farm | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Popizar | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bodeflex | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promo Code | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Bulwark | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Principal Dancer | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beta | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Macho Boy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No More Miracles | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Him She Kisses | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Posse Can Disco | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trappeze Artist | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Got the Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr Fantasy | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kikkerland | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devious Mo | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | What’s My Category | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Solar Zen | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Echoes of Destiny | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Production Credit | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Son of an Ex | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ellarella | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mabel Island | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Lassie | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Dublinornothin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ifihadachance | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Pendolino | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steal My Heart | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cheatham Hill | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Withers S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Risk Taking | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donegal Bay | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capo Kane | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overtook | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Number | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shackqueenking | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eagle Orb | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Doda | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Civil War | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Autostrade | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Earned Success | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abbaa | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O Shea Can U See | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swiping Dan | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Win With Pride | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baduke | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calculated Thinkin | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coltandmississippi | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.