February 13, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Famous Attraction | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carribean Caper | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rookery | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Real Jewel | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candywrapper Crazy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out Loud | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Limit | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Firingtothefront | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | D’wild Muffin | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star Prado | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunshine Deelite | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dance Away | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ronnie’s Peso | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin Sunday | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sienna Breeze | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dixie Lady | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Underrated | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stella’s Surprise | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speak to Me | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Onerollofthedice | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chione | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Frosted | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Choice | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bizzy Echo | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Euphoric | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maybe Later | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brest Fortress | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Run Classic | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cash Rocket | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alejandro | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostliner | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grey Storm | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Constituency | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chrome Finish | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldenite | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy American | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Hot Stove League | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sharp Rocket | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shaldag | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Global Empire | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Halfbarberbingie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Committed | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Weather Prayer | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Own the Town | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panenka | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Temple City Blvd | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Win Worthy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Struttinbuck | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | Freddy Flintshire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Sainthood | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Masqueparade | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dolder Grand | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiwanaku | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cool Rags | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cody’s Legacy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cross Check | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Champion | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortified | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Colonel Power S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Extravagant Kid | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manny Wah | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Archidust | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Might | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bango | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Went West | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turned Aside | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jack the Umpire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Captivating Moon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Defeater | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Lake | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blameworthy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gagetown | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Regular Guy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey Double | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risk Manager | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laker Mamba | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Nick | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warlock Doc | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavy Duty | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Albert M. Stall Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Dalika (GER) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Secret Message | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Room to Finish | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Temple City Terror | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pass the Plate | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Xanthique | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | His Glory | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Joy Epifora (ARG) | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mizzen Beau | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dreamalildreamofu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amazima | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tuned (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mineshaft S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Maxfield | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blackberry Wine | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enforceable | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chess Chief | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sonneman | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dinar | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wells Bayou | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Fair Grounds S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Logical Myth | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Factor This | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Danceteria (FR) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dontblamerocket | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Set Piece (GB) | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Artie’s Rumor | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spectacular Gem | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Tea Time | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Captivating Moon | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Peace Achieved | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blackberry Wine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Rachel Alexandra S. Presented By Fasig-tipton
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Travel Column | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clairiere | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zoom Up | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Sensational | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Off We Go | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Littlestitious | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Swag | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Becca’s Rocket | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charlie’s Penny | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Risen Star S. Presented By Lamarque Ford
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starrininmydreams | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mandaloun | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senor Buscador | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Bourbon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carillo | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rightandjust | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proxy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beep Beep | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | O Besos | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Santa Cruiser | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sermononthemount | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Defeater | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Keepmeinmind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.