February 14, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don Ciccio | 30.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Heaven | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Czar | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Not Tapit | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Start the Parade | 0.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Despite Odds | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lifespan | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Distant Thunder | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beyond the Victory | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodluckchuck | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Automate | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Mark | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cerulean Springs | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Shanghai Superfly | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Walk Away Joe | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Weather Wiz | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blue Sky Painter | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scoreswhenhewants | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghost On a Mission | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Find Your Boaz | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Saint | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Korczak | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runner Runner Indy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gator Fifty Two | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Street | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Band On Tour | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abuelo Paps | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingston Pike | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holly Blame | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | John’s Promise | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Crusader | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Dixie | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | War Light | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Charm | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Asta | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pardon the Pun | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ricky Ricky | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Neverfold | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Eje Gama | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Day of Honor | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royalian | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Padawhirk | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boston Billy | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Family Fortune | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scamper Along | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Choice | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Candy | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wings of Fire | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet Tanager | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bodes Sunset | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloquent Lady | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Hot Kitten | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dudley Square | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flatter Hymn | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shotski | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | V. I. P. Ticket | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Plot the Dots | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McElmore Avenue | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Youngest of Five | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Closer Look | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baptize the Boy | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mice and Men | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justwaveandsmile | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stone Courageous | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Go Go | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey and You | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brooks Robinson | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gaming Jack | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hazels Little Man | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Theduke of Hazzard | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Natty Beau | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warm Sunny Breeze | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sam and Sy | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jacoba | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.