February 25, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | From Now On | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Split Tens | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Take Charge Chase | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carbonated | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forgotten Coast | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leftfieldjunction | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donwell | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lip Service | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stanton C | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Andy | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | All Star Rocket | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Accustomed to Hope | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Manassas | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bliss La Vie | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lily Be | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viking Voyage | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sophisticated Girl | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Egeauxtism | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pepper Jack | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heather’s Request | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Player | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shack Partout | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingston Street | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crown Me Jackson | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nana’s Joy | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A J’s Grand | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mostly Awesome | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amelia Madelyn | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fianna Hills | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charzee Baby | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Allie Dancer | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shallow River | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aquaholic | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swanee Beach | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overly Sweet | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party With Kassidy | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devastating Beauty | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Arch | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crider Chase | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Midnight | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Legs | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zugersee | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Skykat | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viva Cat | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dignityto Infinity | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hanging Lake | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joe G’s Payback | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catcake | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Far Rylee | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Justice | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heather Divine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rosecoloredglasses | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | American Mom | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Our Amen | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Song for Heddings | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Flat Out Flirty | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Saint Kennedy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Lucky Little Lady | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Mariposa d’Oro | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Dont Know Either | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nancy’s Rescue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Naughty Justice | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elegant Orchid | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crispy Creed | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storied Trip | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Charlie Sioux | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Sweep | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Complete Court | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jennifer’s Arch | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saber Cut | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashyboy’s Lilsis | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Why God | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Cool | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ebrio | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jack Be Quick | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Mistake Present | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr Makeithappen | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | December Seven | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temprano | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Smooth Colliery | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sonoma Crush | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | R and R Star | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stealing Apriority | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Nightmare | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peytonwegotdonuts | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Away Son | 1.80 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beaux Victory | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charli Michael | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courageous Is Back | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daves Friend Dewey | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Little Flaco | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Thimble | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grand Prado | 4.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.