Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 25, 2021

February 25, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Very Savvy 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pitufina 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Missing Link 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Speedy Fire 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Heart of God 4.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Romantical Note 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Never My Love 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Piper 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Eclipticals Carol 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Gaga Oh La La 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Khozan’s Secret 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Twin Bridges 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Miraculous 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Hello Princess 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Playera 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Shakem 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Kirby 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Say Cheese 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Pretty Liddie 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Greenwood Drive 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 5 Pandorica 30.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Lyrical 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Papa’s Little Girl 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Let’s Be Honest 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Grace’s Drama 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Etana 4.50 3.4 7-1
2 2 Dont Get Smart 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 She Takes Heart 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Assume Control 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Twice too Many 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 3 Harrykeepthechange 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Scrappy Artie 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 6 Backchat 10.00 3.4 6-1
12 9 Majestic Street 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Joshy Jak 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Proud Contender 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 5 Palemma 30.00 8.7 16-1
10 7 Soul Dancer 30.00 9 17-1
3 3 Perspective 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ubiquitous 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 French Affair 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 K’s Running Free 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Get N Tipsy 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Shikaka 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Glorious Gal 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Fast Catalina 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Zip It Jess 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Noble Maria 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Short Pour 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Jabuticaba 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Vitaemi 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Codrington 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Katieleigh 5.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Una Luna 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Josefa 12.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Loriloupies 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Gitana 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Bean 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Midtown Rose 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Dahlonega 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Salsa Rita 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Amalfi Princess 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 La Libertee 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Can’t Buy Love 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Agog 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Dial to Win 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Reinagol 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Danessa Baby 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Lambeau Lady 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Queen Arella 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Turn It On 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alexandra Am I 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 7 Time Sensitive 4.00 2.6 5-1
11 10 Italian Twin 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Frankie’s Girl 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Irazu 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Ma Reve 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Viva 12.00 4.3 8-1
14 12 Miss Amendment 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Estellina 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Mothers Day Jewel 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Goodbye Carolina 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Family Time 15.00 SCRATCH
13 11 Blue Eye Kitten 30.00 10.4 20-1
10 9 Backstretchbeauty 30.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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