March 1, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Salt Life Angel | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wish for Interest | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bigjim’s Silvergal | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awishforgreeley | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m All Mixed Up | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Decadent Diamond | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jerry’s Legacy | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raising the Roof | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Areyouinaband | 1.80 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiery Flash | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Guilty Confession | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stang It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Kinlee’s Song | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dusty Boy | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dodger | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Britts a Closer | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smiling Song | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Redding | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | La La Latte | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emeraldwaters | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Summertime Bandit | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Quick Heat | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Executive Council | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Louisa | 3.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Camp Halo | 1.80 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C C Crown’s Choice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lawsuit Lucy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cherokeetin Xpress | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Crapaud | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Cool Individual | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack’s Kiss | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highly Centsable | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tune My Guitar | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Singinginthewind | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buy In | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Punky Monkey | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Man Behind the Bar | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Flash Dancerluck | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Halostar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Our Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Fellar | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Bert | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Verrazano First | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tapizars Secret | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shangroyal | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prizeless | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Money Sunk | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | G G Has a Shot | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Prospect Crissi | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arctic Guitar | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Expresso | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Mabelee | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Thinking of Her | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dixie Loving | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sunny Empire | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chicken Or the Egg | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aim Spot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | All Our Time | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Special Star | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rock On Cowboy | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Band’s Luck | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meet Kevin | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Touchdown Joe | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goodrockinalvin | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In a Bind | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy’s Soulmate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silent Trick | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harlans Warrior | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Rae Rae | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Becca’s Whisper | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runfastandloud | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C C’s Baby Girl | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palmettovowmenot | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gemodixie | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fast Dude | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Port Hunter | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carrier Pigeon | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bluewater Cat | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Force | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | End Zone | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mogowan | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waterwild | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talkothtown | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoodoo Brown | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Citi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Collect | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Star | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apriority Storm | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wayne’s Hope | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lit a Shuck | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mean Cruiser | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Ward | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ramirin | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Times Rollin | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Fitz | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.