March 3, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Super Leggera | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karenville | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dauphine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Mishka | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quid Pro Glow | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Isla Bonita | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Learnt | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Metafora | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Lady Tapatia | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tonala | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wild Story | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Deraldine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Trashthetrailer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Miss Moreno | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hot Babe | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Personal Reward | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | This Dudes No Fool | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exxtop | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dropped Anchor | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peruvian Dancer | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hickerson | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hangar One | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Blue | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Magic | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Under Fire | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Congrats Again | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Now a Jaguar | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Navajo Creed | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sette Stelle | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Tabernero One | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | William Boy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Coffee Buzz Buzz | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Lion | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Pin Ally | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yellowstone Girl | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elliereeseaston | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fearless Ideas | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Red Flag Alert | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mutakaamil | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Perm | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jealous Eyes | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Tough | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calabash | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viking Plunder | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finding Mischief | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Well Shes Handsome | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pulling Strings | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretzel | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fior Di Latte | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mavi | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cottons Last | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corinthia | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Second Mate | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dundalk | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Freedom’s Flight | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Won’t | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salute the Colonel | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monongahela | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Copper | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Durocher | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Excalibur | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Eyed Jack | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alejandro’s Team | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz Light the Way | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Edgar | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nimble Beast | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prospect Project | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Riggins | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ranger Up | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ninetydaysofwinter | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eastern Symphony | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Valletta | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whatdoesasharksay | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Margaret’s Joy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She Throws Heat | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cloud Ten | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Diamond Sparkles | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Setting the Mood | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Holyanna | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Passive Investing | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lido Key | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mylastfirstkiss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frenchmen Street | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discretionary Marq | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Gems | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | What’s Inside | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dugout | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kalu | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Earth | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fixed Point | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gran Malbec | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Marcelino | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Station Rock | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gnarly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Doc Amster | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tenacity Zip | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.