March 4, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Songs Discreet Cat | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
9 | 9 | Clever Music | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
10 | 10 | Spanish Exchange | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | D’lady Fired Up | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sweet Perfection | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lawsuit Lucy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
11 | 11 | Two More Barbo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Rare One | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Undeniably Devine | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
3 | 3 | G Kate | 5.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
6 | 6 | Miss Jamie | 2.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Super Factor | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Wrath | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | King Zippy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Such | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Honor My Speed | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Front Page | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Mutineer | 1.80 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Unfathomed | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
10 | 9 | Pleasant Vision | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Zesty Guitar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 4 | Proud Redemption | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Relax Town | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Vision of Angels | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Mas O Menos | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Custom Pancho | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
9 | 8 | Callthewolfe | 1.80 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
11 | 11 | Multidimensional | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Gotiger Special | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Dixieland Flash | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Quiet Trip | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Given Kisses | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | No No No | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Sing the Song | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Todayisnottheday | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Dial Em In | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Tiz the Time | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Wandernintheforest | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Running Rosado | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 5 | Twilight Glow | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
2 | 1 | Georgia Dawn | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
8 | 6 | Streettalkinhottie | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Salute Elle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Madison’s Wild One | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Caught His Eye | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
3 | 2 | My Mallory’s On | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
9 | 7 | Ebony Bay | 1.80 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Steppin’ Outonher | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
10 | 10 | Guilty Again | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Oneholylion | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Donna’s Court | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Adios Yankee | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Reece’s Priority | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Christopher Cat | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Seeley | 1.80 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Aztec Delite | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Lion Heart Legend | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Abigail’s Beauty | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Maiden Rock | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Lil Eva Jane | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | A. K. A. Grams | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Thirstyprospect | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Stone Top | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Chief the Great | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Izeonpoint | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Unwanted Intruder | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
2 | 2 | Mucho Marvin | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
1 | 1 | Natealyze | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
11 | 11 | Alterana | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Half Ours N Stormy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Interactif Moment | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Broadway Jones | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Blazing Fire | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Hail State | 1.80 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Yes Bab | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
12 | 12 | Toni’s Star | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Akhnas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Song Spectacular | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
6 | 6 | Jittery Tom | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Carlos Punch | 2.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
9 | 8 | St Basil | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dream Twister | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Traelee | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
7 | 7 | Silky’s Dance | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
10 | 9 | Desiard | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | McLean | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.