Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 4, 2021

March 4, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Songs Discreet Cat 20.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Clever Music 15.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Spanish Exchange 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 D’lady Fired Up 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Sweet Perfection 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Lawsuit Lucy 3.50 5.1 10-1
11 11 Two More Barbo 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rare One 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Undeniably Devine 8.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 G Kate 5.00 8.7 17-1
6 6 Miss Jamie 2.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Super Factor 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Wrath 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 King Zippy 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Such 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Honor My Speed 4.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Front Page 2.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Mutineer 1.80 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Unfathomed 20.00 1.5 3-1
10 9 Pleasant Vision 12.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Zesty Guitar 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Proud Redemption 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Relax Town 8.00 2 4-1
8 7 Vision of Angels 20.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Mas O Menos 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Custom Pancho 3.50 8.8 17-1
9 8 Callthewolfe 1.80 8.8 17-1
11 11 Multidimensional 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gotiger Special 4.50 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dixieland Flash 20.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Quiet Trip 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Given Kisses 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 No No No 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sing the Song 2.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Todayisnottheday 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Dial Em In 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Tiz the Time 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Wandernintheforest 5.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Running Rosado 15.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Twilight Glow 10.00 2 4-1
2 1 Georgia Dawn 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 6 Streettalkinhottie 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Salute Elle 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Madison’s Wild One 3.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Caught His Eye 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 My Mallory’s On 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 7 Ebony Bay 1.80 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Steppin’ Outonher 12.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Guilty Again 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Oneholylion 4.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Donna’s Court 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Adios Yankee 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Reece’s Priority 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Christopher Cat 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Seeley 1.80 7.1 13-1
3 3 Aztec Delite 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Lion Heart Legend 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Abigail’s Beauty 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Maiden Rock 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lil Eva Jane 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 A. K. A. Grams 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Thirstyprospect 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Stone Top 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Chief the Great 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Izeonpoint 1.80 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Unwanted Intruder 4.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Mucho Marvin 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Natealyze 12.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Alterana 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Half Ours N Stormy 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Interactif Moment 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Broadway Jones 5.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Blazing Fire 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Hail State 1.80 6.6 13-1
5 5 Yes Bab 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Huffs Taz a Boo 20.00 8 15-1
12 12 Toni’s Star 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Akhnas 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Song Spectacular 20.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Jittery Tom 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Carlos Punch 2.00 7.9 15-1
9 8 St Basil 30.00 8 15-1
1 1 Dream Twister 6.00 8 15-1
4 4 Traelee 6.00 8 15-1
7 7 Silky’s Dance 10.00 8.1 15-1
10 9 Desiard 3.50 8.3 16-1
2 2 McLean 5.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.