March 4, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Competent | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miahsolomiah | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talega Dinero | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mudslide Wicked | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kayla’s Tune | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Our West Indy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Drawntomunny | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Emperor’s Song | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Cat | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blessing Memories | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Choose to Be Happy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Gift | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Load Up Moe | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Couch Dreams | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Westerly Wind | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parmenides | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lisa’s First Love | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jimbo | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Frank | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Geometrico | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King Ottokar | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unprecedented | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Man Bob | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cairo Campaign | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretendant | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Positive Phil | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pawnbroker | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Another Softball | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Pillo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sovereign Warrior | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Convict Pike | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Jamsstar | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vegas Weekend | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Platinum Frolic | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nuscaa | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Poison Ivy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Jokes On Me | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flaine | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Our Ten Angels | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Impressive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Camellia Gal | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Mercury | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sengekontacket | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Candy Flower | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Lips Are Sealed | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dizzy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scatnap | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indicia | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real Doozie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alizee | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perspire | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shacklette | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bird Map | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time to Two Step | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Crusade | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Katama Moonlight | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Born Mean | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Reciprocal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Look Me Over | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hightailing | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Regal Passage | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mint Edition | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dinn Righ | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Raspberry Ballet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Emma Rose | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Game Boy Benny | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unpublished | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soldollie | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Turn Johnny | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Juancho | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ray’swarrior | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rough Entry | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vincent William | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Vividly (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Drop a Hint | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sanity | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pilot Episode | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sassy Sarah | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | North Broadway | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Furia Vikinga (CHI) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stickingtogether | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moral Reasoning | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Puppet Master | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lavi | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Going for Gold | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surprise Factor | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Romario | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crack Shot | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Grainger County | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Getthe Muny Bernie | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Our Destiny | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Clamor | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cold Warrior | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Nappy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Broadcast Time | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.