March 5, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flamingo Hawk | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kolohe Prince | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Roger | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Theo | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Divert | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Military Commander | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bottom Deck | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Juguete | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overstated | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Damir | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Readthetranscript | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Passion Plus | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Daddy | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aerodynamic | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nymue’s Treasure | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Something Magical | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Princess | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Interest | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Causingahullbaloo | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tizofadeal | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Systematic | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Katiesdreamgirl | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Belle’s Kingdom | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Emirates Affair | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Manuela | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skyfly | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Town Classic | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocking the Boat | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benefactor | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cove Blue | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Around | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Like You | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bojingle | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Triple Jeopardy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Officiating | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skywalking | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Tone | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Flight to Paradise | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Borkan | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Adventure | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | The Red Man | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dunkle | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Lava | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Swing Low | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nacho Supreme | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coach Paul | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Create a Story | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beasaichi | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jost Dreamy | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beautiful Rosie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Comin Home | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Gata Negra | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen Abarrio | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Spirit | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takestwotowiggle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Cheetah | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Coast | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Rachel | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Serenade a Kitten | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheerleader Barb | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viking Queen | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appointed | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gatsby | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Ollie | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shoo Shine | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ampersand | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speargun | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timewon’tletmego | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lashara (GB) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kissing Frogs | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Witez | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Simplicity (FR) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toffen | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bay B Ruth | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sally’s Curlin | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | My Sweet Wife | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Market Rumor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Movie Moxy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Tropicat | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fully Loaded | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hero Tiger | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Ron | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Station Rock | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Belgrano | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Malraux | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fair Catch | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kobe Fifty Two | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miles Ahead | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.