March 5, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Riddle | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Lady Ann | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raneem | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Renella | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Eclipse | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pasito | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Al’s Princess | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lulu D’ Oro | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best of Show | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chrome of Our Own | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brio Is Awesome | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zu Zu Flynn | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Law Professor | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Harbored Memories | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Star Sailor | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fenway | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | There Goes Harvard | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hudson Ridge | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mucho Del Oro | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lone Scout | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | City Rage | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Finish | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rager | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Flew South | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Nothing | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Smoothlikebuttah | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sugar Kisses | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Half Hoping | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Supersonic Flyer | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Here Comes Ralphie | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sideways Suances | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Complete Control | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Twentyseventrouts | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | My Tigress | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Elgofranco | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dual Reality | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Humor Me Harper | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Slewpys Last Song | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fursace | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lady Doc | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Kristi’s Tiger | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Homehome | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Li’l Grazen | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Time for Ebby | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Finish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jan Jan Can | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sing in the Wind | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Noble Thought | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | French Getaway | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fabozzi | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Worthy Turk | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marckie’s Water | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Bob (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Move Over (GB) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Year | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.