March 6, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Destinationwnrscir | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Epona’s Dream | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormi Cat Lady | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Type | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duckphat | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gallina | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Gagliano | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Remoane | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mama Kin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mebs Web | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Me Tomorrow | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shannon’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dazzling Speed | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Morgantown | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ninth Hour | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diddley | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | San Juan Diego | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Professor Snape | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporate Raider | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kaz’s Beach | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Not Phar Now | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Financialstability | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnetron | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fleet Warrior | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inside Info | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Future Book | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 5 | Z’finale | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Mighty Wind | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another Shot | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lord Camden | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ringgood | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bedazzling | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simbasalltrouble | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | A Huge Checkpoint | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scotto | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Son of an Ex | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Busher Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Brazil | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Search Results | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Desserts | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Grass Is Blue | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laobanonaprayer | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Make Mischief | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tom Fool H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pete’s Play Call | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Share the Ride | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wendell Fong | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chateau | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Pass | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Farm | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Landing Zone | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thankful | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lake Avenue | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Glimmering | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Portal Creek | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Needs Supervision | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashndynamite | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halo City | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gotham S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crowded Trade | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highly Motivated | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Fighter | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wipe the Slate | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capo Kane | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Weyburn | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Reds | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Road | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Number One Dillon | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Big S | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imperio D | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trappeze Artist | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blues City | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Competitive Hero | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coolboy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Breithorn | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.