March 6, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smittys Patriarch | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Always Late | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minister’s Medal | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Have a Notion | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chinese Bandit | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Taylor Made | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abacus On Tap | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Semi Charmed Life | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Say Yes Again | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love of My Heart | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Veilazig | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Underrated | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bluebird Sing | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easter Girl | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Dream | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5B | 5 | City Mischief | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prairie | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Obligation | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockdale | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Summer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plutonium | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Ready to Pounce | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Remember Hymn | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benbow Cat | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Feuilleton | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Clarestown | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12B | 12 | Ghostliner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gem of Carlos | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Act of Donation | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Bourbon | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Western Star | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Silent Cry | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Metal Count | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pillage Da Village | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whatafind | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’suptoyoupal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Loveu and Proudofu | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Red Camelia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Offspring | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Room to Finish | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Net a Bear | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saints N Muskets | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lebkuchen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marywood | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sebs Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Crimson Feline | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ronnie’s Peso | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Rebel | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Away | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Sunday | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sienna Breeze | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Active Girl | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Custom for Carlita | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace Forever | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Darain (GB) | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jolting Joe | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | News Break | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Attorney Tim | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toma Todo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cool Bobby | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghost Giant | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Eagle | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kadesh | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Boulevard | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Antarctic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Luck of the Draw | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Maroon Maniac | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | On Your Mark | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Peruvian Boy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Man of Honor | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flying Curlin | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Wandering West | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Mister K | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Senor Jobim | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sir Truebadour | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Custers Last Stand | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saranya | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Earth Strike (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simply Sovereign | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arm Candy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Boss | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Theorem | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spun d’Etat | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dramatizer | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barista | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Euphoric | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Who Took the Money | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Jam | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Intuition | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | City Park | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Available Star | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Drilling Report | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baquero’s Bind | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Daddy Cool Cat | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looking for Bull | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Good Old Charlie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.