March 6, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nevisian Sunrise | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wolfbane | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caramel Swirl | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brina | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stunning Princess | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dalida | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Look What I Found | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlett Lace | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Laynlomakndough | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belle Elle | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kylee Rose | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Family Friend | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mademoiselle Nova | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | My Desdemona | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Friend | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Projected (GB) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Til the End | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Trump Kitten | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Curly | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Uhtred | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minister’s Strike | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Devoted Kitten | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Majestic Luna | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Mighty Judge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Totono | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Youshouldbesolucky | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keepsakekitten | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Krsto Skye | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ournationonparade | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creed | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where Paradise Lay | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Positively Awesome | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Running for Riz | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Ok Is Not Ok | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Copacetic | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Twirlin | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Third Draft | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Final Belle | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Cairo | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mulsanne (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Madeira Wine | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fuchsia | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Song | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Fashion (GB) | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rainbow Belle | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Charges Dropped | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | High Fashion | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dana Grace | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Subsidiary | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lavi | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Witch Hunter | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Factor | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bettyb | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fantastic Kingdom | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Pleasecallmeback | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strike the Top | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Seize the Hay | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Strong Headed | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Montauk Summer | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Emoji Guy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fly Fly Away | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mony | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Thenorthremembers | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sir Hoski | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Road to Peace | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharetheblame | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lil Jojo | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Feeling Dangerous | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Easy Stride | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beyond the Call | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Farm Strong | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Florida Lion | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Liquid Louie | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Patron | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shananies Paynter | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Callmesenorita | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Antigone | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tokyo | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lailoni | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Fiorella | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cat’s J N J | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Fraction | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soothing | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hutcheson S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Roderick | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Real Talk | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lauda Speed | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Pride | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ultimate Badger | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Willy Boi | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Worlds On High | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Captiva Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Miss Auramet | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Choose Joy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karak | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Tracy Ann’s Legacy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Bit of Both | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nightlife | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Shades | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Compensate | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Any Limit S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Boston Post Road | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Jer’s Joy | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Farsighted | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shop Girl | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shea D Summer | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Feeling Mischief | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Mo’ Spending | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Baby Raelynn | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Happy Girl | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trappezoid | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Areyoutalkingtome | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Donji | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Charlie the Greek | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zonic | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mozo Bello | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | So Long Chuck | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mystical Moon | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lauderdale | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Powerful Ally | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monmouth Dr | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.