March 6, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Buttered Noodles | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hansens Mischief | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Appraisal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pintxos | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Earner | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deflater | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take Charge Now | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Big Tiny | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Skamania | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frills | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shaharazad | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Showit | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Promessa | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backseat Promises | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly and Kind | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Touch Me | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Madison Way | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Love | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raggedy Annie | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Premier Wish | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Flashback | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Wonder Girl | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Biz | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blinkers | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jack Van Berg | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Its My Bag Baby | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sycamore Run | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Wings Up | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wyoming Conquest | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Time Heist | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Change Direction | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Church of Many | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tapalist | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Boo Reid | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Candy’s Little Tip | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shake It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Niall | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bode’s Maker | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shortlist | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shweet Persuasion | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie’sarchangel | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jumper | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catdaddy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard to Be Good | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge d’Oro | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arkansas Bling | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Do Me a Favor | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonshine Princess | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Choctaw Charlie | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | This Girl Does | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Spurwink Lane | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Springs Bling | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tyler’s Tyronza | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Longntall | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Little Burrito | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Denali Rocket | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Not Siri | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Daigle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dee Likes This One | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Exulting | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | He’s No Bull | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tough Stuff | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Please the Court | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Naughty Alfred | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Recount | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Daaher’s Success | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Whole Lotta Luck | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wills Defence | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Beemie Award | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Elzabe’s On Board | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | El Venue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Best You Ever Seen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Bar Stool Budget | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Mo Mosa | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gun It | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blackberry Wine | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spa City | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lykan | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dean Martini | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bruder Bob | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Green Light Go | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Honeybee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Coach | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willful Woman | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sun Path | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Will’s Secret | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pauline’s Pearl | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oliviaofthedesert | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tabor Hall | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Absolute Anna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Ottothelegend | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | He’smyhoneybadger | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Windcracker | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caerus | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hanks | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chrome Run | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ram | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Saqeel | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Fantastic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ardanwood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.