March 7, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Frenchie Frou Frou | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancified | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Domonette | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Storm | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms. Malevolence | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Visual Magic | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Fire and Ice | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fast Recovery | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Critic | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highlight Reel | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major Kong | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgia Deputy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tough Company | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stash the Cash | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allen | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Listen to Rose | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dial Dish | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mess | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Mistress | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Millard’s Comet | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Bossy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Dish | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Caged Bear | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Len’s Gold | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Stylin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First String | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Biz | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | River Finn | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spin Rate | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Code | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mrs. Beans | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Ace | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Recklessness | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chitto | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shake It | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Greeley and Ben | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coworker | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Corot | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Basic Chance | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coach Adams | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Street to Indy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alexandros | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | May We All | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wills Defence | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Valdolobo (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Explosive Humour | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Blame J D | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Topf Road Rules | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Cinco Catalina | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Into Orbit | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Traffic Control | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Goodnight Archie | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Twisted Dixie | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dinner At Crumpies | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kat’s Hitman | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gar Hole | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dancin Rocket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gaslight | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Reflection | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Enid | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khozan’s Success | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hammerschmidt | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Antigravity | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Roses | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sleight of Hand | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Fantastic | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Don’t Forget | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Drena’s Star | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | P R Radio Star | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruler of the Nile | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Strolling | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flat Lucky | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elzabe’s On Board | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ravens Reflection | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Iza Daddy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Captain Don | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bebop Shoes | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aspen Club | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wasabi Moon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chicken Hawk | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lang’s Fir Doll | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heisfancy | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Rocco | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pay Dirt | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Demigod | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hamazing Song | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sir Brahms | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.