March 8, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Desoto’s War | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Power | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | G Victory | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honorarian | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kingston Street | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | David’s Grace | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A Star Is Born Now | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sammy Danseur Jr. | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Race Craft | 1.80 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Building Home | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Midnight Trip | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fort Pike | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Enduring Peace | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jus My Imagination | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maggie’s Return | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scampering Grayce | 1.60 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clearly Sailing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Wheels Turning | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kansas King | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Courageous Is Back | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shugs Lil Bro | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Counterfeit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zion’s Call | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Girl Thirsty | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hero of Gold | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Little Jen | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Born to D’ Wild | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bella Moon | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Summer’s Indy | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Me | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Ashley’s New Shoes | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Podcast | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Last Destiny | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Batty | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Milagros | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lauralee Cocodree | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paddy O’Belle | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missgreeley’ssong | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ten Tap Dances | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ultimate Challenge | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Smart Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gal | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Holy Song | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will B Late | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clocked in Tyme | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enough Heart | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salesgirl | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Siberianproduction | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Gata Mala | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prud as Punch | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Invader | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alys Episode | 2.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Idareeldeal | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toshita Forever | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudywithachance | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swanee Beach | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clever Arch | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabo Sunset | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ad Libitum | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crider Chase | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eternal Force | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smarty Grimes | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Peak | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Cookie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Me Back | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D’rock | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Mike | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baptism | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curtin’s Up | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spring Rodeo | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nastida Mast | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Toe | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Actif One | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quality Production | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Parade | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apalachee Bay | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Archie | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.