March 11, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Chewy Chewy Good | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Souper Capacity | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 5 | As Required | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Tango Cinco | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Ike Likes | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Cinco West | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Mystical Matilda | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Wicked Chocolate | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Carrillo Street | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rahway | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Ice Storm | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Descente | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Horizon | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossy Bride | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Bella | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Potra Liza | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stone Secret | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Special Star | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Dan | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Jimmy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of the Ring | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Funandfunny | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Biker Tim | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Congo’s Tale | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dryspell | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Lou | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turnstone | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Starrgarita | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five Star Moon | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Pretty | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hissy Missy | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zanshoes | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mocha Kiss | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mary Alice | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Road | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warm Beauty | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lookin for Eight | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little No Way | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Off Sixes | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostly Who | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Singandcryindubai | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kristo | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wickets Way | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stuart Hall | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calculated Risker | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Determinant | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sister Annie | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sylvia Q | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Battle Bling | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. O’Connell | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Absolute Anna | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fast N Fine Worker | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Novel Squall | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gambler’s Fallacy | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobby Baby | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hardly a Secret | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Meistermind | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | I Will Stand | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ucanthankmelater | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Not Very Gentle | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hamazing Vision | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Carlos | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aqwaam | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strike Power | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Nation Army | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Sound | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nuclear Option | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hollis | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Love | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Attempt | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Into Victory | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kalliniki | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charmed One | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixieland Candy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Competitive Fire | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get Off My Tail | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | I’m Excee | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | My Wicked Wish | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s My Ride | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sheshappy | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unburnt | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jewel Azul | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kiss On Fire | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.