March 12, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lime | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Mo | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ladies’ Choice | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simply the Best | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Grace | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marimba | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awildas Treasure | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Diamonds Enjoy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Kickn | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dream d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nicholas Rose | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Nay Maybe (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sage Canyon | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frank Alone | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Brother | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deckology | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trinni John | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blakenstein | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Bullet | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pachanga Patrol | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Debbie’s Road | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Comiskey Park | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jupiter Blues | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Max | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gnarly | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vinnie Van Go | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Puttheglassdown | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Examiner | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shoshone Brave | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Absam | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Voodoo Zip | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Small Talk | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liam’s Boy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thirsty Owl | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Faith | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Alley | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Date | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timeforawoodford | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joe Di Baggio | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reservenotattained | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Blessed Journey | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miles Ahead | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Well Defined | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apache | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Create Again | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cowardly Act | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kicks On Sixty Six | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golovkin | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mista Donzella | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Optimistic Valor | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Maxamillion | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hachacha | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bach | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Well Done West | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Septemberten | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Augusta Melody | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mustang Cat | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Man Flintstone | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tonalism | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chill Haze | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardredcandy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ensign Parker | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Exchange Day | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spend Benjamins | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deputy Indy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jackson Strong | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Todaystheday | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Hoisted Mast | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Matters | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Shining Through | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Always Misbehaving | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Threeninetytwo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Call Bros | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Where Ya Goin Owen | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bodie Cody | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Getthe Muny Bernie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dreamin of Seville | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Policy Option | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barbie’s King | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Leading Factor | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alrahaal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.