March 12, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Factual | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Solemn Oath | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great in Red | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Playfulmisssamurai | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | O K Baby | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Anotherinthefire | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Little Sure Shot | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Steamy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wagon Boss | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tashkent | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elitch | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ike | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Ticket | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Witch Doctor | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dealin’ Stelen | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Abe | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Macho Rocket Man | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thornish | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Jerry | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stomping Hotrod | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jesse Jones | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit Soul | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roll Dinero Roll | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gentle Knight | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Tip | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Awe Bird | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Shoes | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Replete | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Hidden Ruler | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Firehorn | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hurricane Jake | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Heritage Park | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | All Shacked Up | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tentwelvefourteen | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mine My Time | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Uncle Gregory | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Baquero Flies | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Areemaa | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Lyricist | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Omi Ten | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Miss Alpha Bella | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ambitiously Placed | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Quiet Surprise | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lake Sense | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | B Rewarding | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dede’s Trick | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Filly Ray Cyrus | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sekani | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Proud Victoria | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Florida Bird | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Euro Me | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Antioch | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savedbyanangel | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bettyann | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B’s Lil’ Bumblebee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Queens Gift | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shastaloo | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Making Progress | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jlohr Jan | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Cassidy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lofthouse | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Freedom Bound | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fortuna Adiuvat | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duchess Bubbles | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jets a Ginnin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Your Distance | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Fly | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imaginary Music | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Miss Hot Mess | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Could You | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kasserine Pass | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lay M Out | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Man in the Can | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempt Fate | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hoonani Road | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | K J’s Nobility | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Destiny Way | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J. E.’s Handmedown | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bandit Point | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wills Defence | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Beemie Award | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best You Ever Seen | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoof Prince | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Impunity | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hubbadahubbadaboom | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Kitchen Fire | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Venue | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louden’s Gray | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Therunawayrocket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Babadoook | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.