March 13, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | B C Glory Days | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Selby | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Whirlwind Ride | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forty Two Ace | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Colt Named Susie | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostmon | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Quest | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chief Asharoken | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Love Me Tomorrow | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vitanza | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlotte Webley | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queendom | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jara | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empress Luciana | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Charisma | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Syzygy | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Back Channel | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Kat | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strafe | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Handle the Truth | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Venus Oyzo | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 6 | Alpine Queen | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roma Carpe | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Synonymous | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Playwright | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavy Roller | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Hardcore Folklore | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mine the Coin | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarf It Down | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mac’s Revolution | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hero’s Hope | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Orpheus (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hawaiian Noises | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Storm Advisory | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shamrocked | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fox Red | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Batterbatterswing | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brush Country | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cavaradossi | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Great Dansky | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Kaz | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bar Fourteen | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devious Mo | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alite | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustin Bieber | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Production Credit | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady’s Boy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Being Me | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | St. Paddy’s Boy | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Scorpion Dynasty | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Victory Built | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiz Kaz Now | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mucho Sunshine | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Posse Can Disco | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hudson Overpass | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gratto Swing | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Fidget | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wardenofthenorth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Secret Rules | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Engine | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Musical America | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mihos | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Runningwscissors | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Celtic Chaos | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Velocity | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twelfth Labour | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Correction S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amuse | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Awesome Debate | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sadie Lady | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Prairie Fire | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kansas Kis | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call On Mischief | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jump for Joy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Up for Adventure | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Spirit | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Litterbox | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In the Zone | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skippingandajumpin | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Second Fortune | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danegeld | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Interstate | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unlikely | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Cash Go | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.