March 13, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Muletrain | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Clipper | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Grey Sloan | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Degrasse | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Putthehammerdown | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stealing Apriority | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jade’s Classy One | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joeboy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Gold | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tencentsuperhoop | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Babe Reed | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Take That for Data | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lead Star | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candizar | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Intent | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thetrashmanscoming | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Over Funded | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gato Americano | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mosta Flyin | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Strollin the Bayou | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zabava | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sensible Myth | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Threewickedwishes | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emmport | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skyvalue | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North of Eden | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Moira | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | As Fast as You Can | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flags Up | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Giannis | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Filippo | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sometimes Always | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scary Larry | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Saint Goar | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Peeker Cinco | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ferryboat | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Artie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play Unified | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunshine Deelite | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diva’s Ransom | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Balook | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Liz | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Powder River | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Break At Dawn | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | San Destin | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Microcap | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Blindness | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matt’s Honey | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | April’s No Fool | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes I’m Evil | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Gifted Talent | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lively Lea | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | World War | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hotmolly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glory to Me | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Missing Piece | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bad Gal Riri | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tetheredtothetruth | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lucky Harborage | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Party With Kassidy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Shop Around | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Safe Keeping | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Digital | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coltonator | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hold Me Black | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steadytillready | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Principe Guilherme | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tringale | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boyfriend Material | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Takes Two to Tango | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stuck in Vegas | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guitar Tribute | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa’s Boy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mangelsen | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Unrestricted | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Jet | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Mo U No | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sydster | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Freedomfi | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Social Afleet | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drewcitable | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nippy Red | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Bella Brown | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Brew | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cabo’s Rumor | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Win Ya Win | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Count | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | C’Mon Ve | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlettsblackjack | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zelig | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palvera | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.