March 15, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Yank Crime | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vision of Angels | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Ridge Boogie | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oscar Choice | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crusader Express | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slow | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Williams Shine | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good Times Rollin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toe Bandit | 1.80 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Prado | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Book | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nippy Red | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Make Me Smile | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Mr. Production | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Double Barrel Man | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Little Flaco | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor Leo | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Priority Points | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shady Grady | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comerunninboys | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Callthewolfe | 1.60 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Thimble | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Beaux Victory | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Relax Town | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Costa Sugar | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace of David | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Katniss | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Temple Shadow | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Realmente Calmada | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aubrey | 1.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | River Rain | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Primary First | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Accustomed to Hope | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | My Little Fire | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Awishforgreeley | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s the Boss | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Sunshine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Eurobouttogetit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fruhl’n Around | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Songs Discreet Cat | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamic Julie | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belinda | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady’s Tribute | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Secret Lee | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Limitless Mazie | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Further Lane | 1.20 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Three Run Homer | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Buyer | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King of the Testo | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Applewood | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Vow | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Greeley | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exton | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Song N a Cat | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outamine | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palmy Sundae | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blazing Fire | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | May Hour | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Trip | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alluring Actor | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toni’s Star | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | St Maria | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty Wind | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wildfire Storm | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridled Pulpit | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap a Miracle | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Call | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gaspergou | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Coming J | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.