March 17, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sky Show | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | True Brown Slew | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landwoman’s Gift | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hillhidollaryankee | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Whiskey to Wine | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Roma’s Choice | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tornado Ellie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Crapaud | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rare One | 1.80 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Suckerforagrey | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Run Now Estella | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Tiz One Fee | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saber Cut | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Tensas Thought | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashyboy’s Lilsis | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Afleet Moon | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Silver Chalice | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leyton’s Hippie | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Player | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goodrockinalvin | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gimmeasound | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie Moon | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brad Eye | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Band’s Luck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | All Our Time | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer Pride | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Shopper | 1.80 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joe Diver | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Little Adrian | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Society | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Lee | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kai Baby Kai | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charming Bullet | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trophy Daddy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shae’s Day | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Optimistic | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Krisynsarasboy | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steppin’ Outonher | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dry Wood Creek | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Clark | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Independent Worker | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Academy Bay | 1.20 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Wings | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Rate First | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Young Hendrick | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D’yeti Man | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ipidate | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kensley’s Hippie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Trump Media | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chasin Gracie | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Drew’s Shot | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Dynamo Kid | 1.40 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silver Siren | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Byanymeans | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | See Sassy Run | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Old Fashion Amour | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Duepeg | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Amen | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Neko | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wildabout Audrey | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Molly Golightly | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alterana | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Galaxy Builder | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slither | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Prizeless | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Double Barrel Man | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapizars Secret | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shangroyal | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nomorequestions | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Revolt | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Dude | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Singinginthewind | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Punky Monkey | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overlyappealing | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bluewater Cat | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Force | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talkothtown | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.