March 18, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Subject to Call | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jittery Tom | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Traelee | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chatusa | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Race for Daddy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom K | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Out War | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Song Spectacular | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Jazz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Runpeggyrun | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Little Lady | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Totally Grace | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American Mom | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saint Kennedy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Maiden Rock | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Dont Know Either | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Siberianproduction | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Harriet’s Dream | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fasthappy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sugar Pie Street | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Social Galaxy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pac for Hawaii | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ray Rae’s Runner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ugottago | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandra’s Juel | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spectacular Izzy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emeraldwaters | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Girl in Black | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Steph’s Spirit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lunar Light | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colonel Pike | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allthewaywithtaye | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sr. Clarky | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sidney’s Hope | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Reece’s Priority | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Royal Reality | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Lenape Drive | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Redoux | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honorarian | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gotiger Special | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Star | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Mark | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Ward | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Out Making Treble | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Alpha | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ataviuos | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wheels Turning | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dejoke’s Song | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Smiles | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starbuck Luck | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calaja | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Matt’s Pride | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Film Study | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Areyouinaband | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lullaby Bandit | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dream Twister | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tdz What a Dream | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Robber | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Count | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A Higher Wager | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jet Puffed | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Intense | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | That’s D ‘cat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Venn | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unwanted Intruder | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smiling Song | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Purim King | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liam Skye | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tune My Guitar | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Meditate | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Real Brave | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dodger | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rose Runner | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Justice | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jennifer’s Arch | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Tizway | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carletta | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Shasta | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cherokee Bless | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dignityto Infinity | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Royal Ace | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joe G’s Payback | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.