March 18, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Marsac | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Tune | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Union | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Charliecando | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deal Two | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Inaceptable | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emperor’s Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Private Dancer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Martini Maker | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nacozari | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Cairo | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carrobio | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steak and Cheese | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jerry’s Turn | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sir Kahn | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Khozy My Boy | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rough Entry | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lavery | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Vision of Thanos | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barahin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Factorino | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corey | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sexy Dream | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hara | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Beast | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never My Love | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Italy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Suspicious Minds | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Viani | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gingeronmymind | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courted | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rosey’s Invasion | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Touring Egypt | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kamala | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anonymous Source | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twice too Many | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Mane Man | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uphold the Law | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Onenamesaysitall | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nureyev’s Dream | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cotton Jim | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sanity | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sethamee Street | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Odramark | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awsum Roar | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cat’s Astray | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sarasota Star | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Doll | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Foxy Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hercules | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Game | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khozando | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Braccio Di Ferro | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gege Conquest | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dropped Anchor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jacohare | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caramel Chip | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Matters | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kroy | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zap Daddy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dominate Themoment | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Jaguar | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Luna | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Totono | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Please Sit Down | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Strike Magic | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mercy Mercy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sylvanella | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K’s Running Free | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Cloverly | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Obstinate | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Maria | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Gata Negra | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | I’ll Do It My Way | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hurricane Breeze | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Majic Flash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rooney | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blues Songs | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Millefiori | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.