March 20, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Crescent City Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eileen Alexandra | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Australasia | 0.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Time | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Romance | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tecate Time | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kuhlke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Road Bible | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolder Grand | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Masqueparade | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alejandro | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Check | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Rags | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy American | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon St Tappin | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Micajah | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ranch Badge | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gold Punch | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coffee County | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Touchdown Joe | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cryptorithm | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Paynted Lover | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Merrill | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bunkie’s Song | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Inthealy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creole Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Three Flamingos | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elle M’a Souri (FR) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peter’s Kitten | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go for Mo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Sonrisa | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fate Factor | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fireside Kitten | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sail On Ellen | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jazzy Lady | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tulane Tryst | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Koolhaus | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beduin Fighter | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild for Wycliff | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abdan | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Continental Coins | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Sippi | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Find New Roads | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Alphabet | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Snow House | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Global Empire | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shaldag | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Committed | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win Worthy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weather Prayer | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pharoahswheel | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rockdale | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temple City Blvd | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Played Hard | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speightharmony | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rookery | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seascape | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Confection | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Only Kidding | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firingtothefront | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Real Jewel | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belladora | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Symptom | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Costa Rising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | No Parole | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Monte Man | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Afleet Ascent | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Classy John | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Fame Feather | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Yankee Seven | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | X Clown | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | A Song for Arch | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Win Lion Win | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Future Ruler | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Silver Galaxy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Grand Luwegee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Crescent City Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Unanimously | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who Took the Money | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Creek | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Martinized | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Your Time’s Coming | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wise Verdict | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sarah’s Vision | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mr. Universe | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wrongwayhighway | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sy Michael | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Drewhustle | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grief | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Henning | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tom Benson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dalika (GER) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Catch a Bid | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dominga | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Temple City Terror | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Winning Envelope | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Summer in Saratoga | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Logic N Reason | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pass the Plate | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joy Epifora (ARG) | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | His Glory | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Russian Mafia | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winter Sunset | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dreamalildreamofu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – New Orleans Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Owendale | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roadster | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sonneman | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chess Chief | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Enforceable | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olliemyboy | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mocito Rojo | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captivating Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Muniz Memorial Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Colonel Liam | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Logical Myth | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Pixelate | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Olympic Runner | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Spooky Channel | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Captivating Moon | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Two Emmys | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Conviction Trade | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Peace Achieved | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ninety One Assault | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factor This | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cross Border | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Fair Grounds Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Travel Column | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Li’l Tootsie | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clairiere | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Obligatory | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zaajel | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Souper Sensational | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Il Malocchio | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Swag | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mandaloun | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Rod Charlie | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proxy | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Bourbon | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Classic | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starrininmydreams | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | O Besos | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rightandjust | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.