March 20, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Brynbella | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toolegittoquit | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cuzzywuzzy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She’sanearthmover | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Swagger | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Audrey | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hardly Social | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khosea | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Careless Heiress | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unmarked Money | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pretzel | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Green Gal | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Wind | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mothers Day Jewel | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Little Rose | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abarrio Forever | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Fiorella | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lalali | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Fraction | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shes One Mad Momma | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play That Tone | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Big Frank | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Exonerated Prez | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Social Equality | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Parmenides | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Westerly Wind | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Party of No | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Confucio | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Geometrico | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nakoda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Cara Bonita | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Star | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dahlonega | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Tunes | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Great Kath | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foxy Mischief | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beast of Wildwood | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Yes This Time | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wentru | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zippy Baby | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thorn | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kartano | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ghostlyprince | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Dad | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scrappy Artie | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jeebar | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wora | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bagboss | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Successful One | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Wish | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hierro | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naco | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justice Warrior | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Melody Of Colors S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Wink | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rocket Reload | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sleek Lynx (GB) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fouzia | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lionessofbrittany | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Running Memories | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Can’t Buy Love | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freak | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Everesting | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tallis | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swing Low | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ridin With Biden | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Group Hug | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taita | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Cut | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chieficia | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emperor’s Cause | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tulfarris (GB) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mystic Lancelot | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tiesto | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Advanced Strategy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sambacer | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kaufy Bean | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | King Slew (ARG) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glynn County | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flatter Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rebelde | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Hurricane Bertie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Slam Dunk | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pacific Gale | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saguaro Row | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cory Gal | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sound Machine | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Meghan | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonar | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reluctant Bride | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Texas Glitter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Field Day | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nitro Time | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Que No | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dr. Duke | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kasim | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Omaha City | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Warrior’s Pride | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carimba | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Decision | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Point Exactly | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ambassador Jim | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vow Me Now | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy’s Hero | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Farley | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Another | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outshine | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mozo Bello | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shot Tanker (CHI) | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cuestion de Tiempo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Areyoutalkingtome | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Benefactor | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.