March 21, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maker of an Empire | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gunman | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mutakaamil | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Count Down | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Commissioner G | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Macade | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halo’s Dance | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mauro’s Team | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | R Love On the Run | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Piper | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Skyfly | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chispita | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Lady | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Playera | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C’Mon Karen | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Does She Know | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hold the Applause | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Cheeks | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ill Will | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Mistress | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carismatica | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Florado | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Callen’s Charisma | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovelorn Lady | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honorably | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Beauty | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Momentita | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secrets Told | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freak | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | In Vain | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bye Bye | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commanders Palace | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What a Trick | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A. A. Fast Lida | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Driving Wind | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caught Looking | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reeley Psyched | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mister Leonardo | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tamanrassett | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chao | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dewy’s Hit | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Fun | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jeha | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Mike | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Stuie | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Emma Rose | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Clare’s | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Happy Girl | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raspberry Ballet | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Nugget | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reciprocal | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockin With Lucky | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Souper Energizer | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Auburn Hills | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Accessible | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zipalong | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Aficionado | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diligent | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Express Pharoah | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Treasure Run | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strike the Top | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Poppy’s Boys | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Road to Peace | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Axel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tons of Gold | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saint Larned | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Purecrazidude | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Temptations | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flaming Hot | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mason’s Song | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Memorable | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power (BRZ) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Taamer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unaquoi | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Merseyside | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rising Bella | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lexintonia | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bernie’s Mistress | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Sam | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simplify (ARG) | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mr Matuschek | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Jojo | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gun of Glory | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cuy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joyful Surprise | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Got Floffy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Viking Plunder | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Enough | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tone Feelin | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Patron | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liquid Louie | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Global Vision | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Wild Cat West | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.