March 21, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brief Reaction | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Entrada | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Same Moon | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love My Cat | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Finch | 0.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polish Cookie | 1.20 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Always Something | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eloquent Lady | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Had the Notion | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Millie Child | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Utterly Enchanting | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Promenade Princess | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lifespan | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Heaven | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day of Honor | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Bryce | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cosa Mas Linda | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Transfer the Funds | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Fog | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annika Gold | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desbordes | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Home Dixie | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foggy Dreams | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vibrancy | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Titan’s Will | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amen Corner | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Rinne | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Political | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glorious Weekend | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost On a Mission | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gator Fifty Two | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Korczak | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runner Runner Indy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Audacious Quality | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Redacted Report | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Souper Emperor | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pathway to Victory | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sibelius | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cry No More | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reckless Place | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indefatigable | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | John the Bear | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perpetrate | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamminwithbrandon | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point Driven | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Break | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Al Brown | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Malice | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Frontier | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sea Ghost | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Crusader | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Self Awareness | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy Shelby | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Go Go | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mice and Men | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey and You | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tom Terrific | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nautical Nature | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Always Biz | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Rudy | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runback | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Artillery | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pat’s Factor | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manklin Creek | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Parrott | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.