March 21, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flying Business | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Visual Magic | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Lovin | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abramax | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Paquita | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Napili | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Ghost Strategy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cyber Flame | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Random Affair | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | James’s Moonshine | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Arlington’s Shine | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Will Red | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tuffy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riante Sky | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Jack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | One Way Street | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Unbridled Shoes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jesse Jones | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Lime Tree Valley | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shine Jack’s Dream | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flatoya | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pick Up the Fone | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blinkers | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Rosa Drive | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beauty Day | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Fire and Ice | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Indra | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Backgate Belle | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Longntall | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thursday Morning | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Feminine Allure | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cyber Sneaker | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dee Likes This One | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Marquee Cowboy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Danzig Star | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ella’s My Girl | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spot’s Maine Girl | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Jack Van Berg | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Its My Bag Baby | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Change Direction | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Limbo’s Promise | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kickin’ Kirby | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Mistake | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rogallo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Screen Star | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soldier Boy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lonely Private | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Earner | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Substantial | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Oath | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Deflater | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ship It Red | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Now | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Cave Run | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strolling | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coworker | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oro de Tejano | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Something Super | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Codetowin | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ace Destroyer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stormin Hongkong | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alexandros | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stock Deal | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amani’s Eagle | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Knight’s Cross | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Summer | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Darren’s Fortune | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | California Swing | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge d’Oro | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Changi | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ucanthankmelater | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saffa’s Day | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chatter Box | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Mamba | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bob’s Edge | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Molto Vivace | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edge to Edge | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Xtreme Mayhem | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cold as Hell | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Spurwink Lane | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Hot Springs Bling | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dolly Dimple | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rachie Rach | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Choctaw Charlie | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moonshine Princess | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Burrito | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Very Spicy | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hillary G | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allofourdreams | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flirtatious Smile | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jeri Dawn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Unbridled Twister | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Sweet Holiness | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.