March 24, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Windchill Zar | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jigsaw Blue | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hawk Tail | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | River’s Raging | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Powerful Man | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Babe Reed | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Easy to Bless | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cabo Senorita | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Twin Sisters | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Faith and Fire | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Diamond and Silks | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Sweet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Winnager | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 4 | You’re Doing Fine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Double Dare You | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Zebecca | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Pure Valor | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Money Biz | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smart Call | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | No Exaggeration | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Good Clean Fun | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jazz It Up | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mayberry Saloon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Oso Negro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Botswana Taps | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Homebred | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlington | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Canihaveitlikethat | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Spirit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Gray Blur | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Briar Jumper | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | See the Pyramids | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trivista | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Atlantic | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Antietam Road | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muletrain | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Yankee Clipper | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jourdan River | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mista Valentine | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | War Tribute | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grey Sloan | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cajun Style | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Putthehammerdown | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Joeboy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Widdle Zee | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tencentsuperhoop | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Directional | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fed Money | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Delightfullywicked | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Novgorod the Great | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ornery | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Olympic Champion | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Leroy Jenkins | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Own the Town | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Easy Empire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Moliere | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Luck of the Draw | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New Eagle | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ekati’s Verve | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Job Security | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fort Knox | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Mr. Production | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Much Class | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Gastown | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Klayton’s Kandy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hohohoho | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Breonna | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Katie’s Karat | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beautiful Star | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mon Cherie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Business Lady | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess d’Oro | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moonoverthebayou | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bayou Jam | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Park | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Intuition | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saintsgotrobbed | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bermuda | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Scott | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Old Charlie | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Guitar | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.