March 26, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pay Grade | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormi Cat Lady | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Franny Lu | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seahorse d’Oro | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Know It All Red | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scott Alaia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Icy Dude | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of American | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vitesse | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kingfish | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Orazio | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | True Blue Giant | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fotis | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Freaky Styley | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapizearance | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imperio D | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Suspect | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Beta | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Liam’s Fire | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blood Moon | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promo Code | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tenderfoot | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chestertown | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Per Capita | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Musical America | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sunny Ridge | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arch Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 7 | Amistad | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Social Group | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pier Forty | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Therisastormbrewin | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My First Grammy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Breithorn | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ask Neal | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Halstaat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Colormepazzi | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ninth Hour | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kosciuszko | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Professor Snape | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Win With Pride | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Releasethethunder | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hawaiian Noises | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morgantown | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Truly a Moon Shot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Sack | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor K | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Return the Ring | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | By George | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wellman | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Two Zone | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | Doyouknowwhoiam | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 3 | Vive La Liberty | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Bustin Bay | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Fortune’s Sister | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willow Grove | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mill Stone Creek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Central Capital | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | La Reine Rouge | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Idaka | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grape Therapy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Eilish | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.