March 27, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dune of Pilat (FR) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shake Some Action | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chantry Flats | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin High | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Takafumi (BRZ) | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jurisdiction | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Green Mo’ster | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Carats | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Shantel Lanerie Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saints N Muskets | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Net a Bear | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snowball | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crescentcitypretty | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sebs Princess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sharp Rocket | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Summer Palace | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ames Mister | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Half Cocked | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Aniclude | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | White Mist | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Awesummer | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | F J’s Gem | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Mango Tree | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Goingtoagogo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 12 | P T’s Flash | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bitsy’s Other Half | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Permanentdetention | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cajun Navy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Our Last Shot | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War Rogue | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sweet Levi | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Southern Light | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mr. Old Hat | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Primeinterestrate | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sadie’s Groom | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C F Johnathan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flashburn | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Captain Noble | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Peytonwegotdonuts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Heza Fortune | 50.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Dance Rhythms | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whimsical Muse | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady of Luxury | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She Can’t Sing | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Millennium Force | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Savvy Ally | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blood Curdling | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rush Hour Traffic | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Sterling Miss | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Haynesfest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Payday Too | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Unrestricted | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Much Class | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Make Me Smile | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Cabo’s Rumor | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Power Jet | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Like Mike | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Freedomfi | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imindycatbirdseat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Social Afleet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Four Sevens | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Speak to Me | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oretta | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Balook | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rockin Sunday | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ronnie’s Peso | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Active Girl | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dance Away | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blondie Lox Babe | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grace Forever | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mandoline Star | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Our Mardi Gras | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Prairie | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Americaredwhiteblu | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Thirty Seven | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Koufax | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Filippo | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Samyaza | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cees Get Degrees | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clarestown | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pharoahswheel | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Old Hickory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gigantic | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Powershot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Silk Trade | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Binding Agreement | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charge the Line | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spycraft | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Picasso | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yankee Seven | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Ways | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wandering West | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Galaxy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Declined | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bring Me a Check | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Code Duello | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bryce Canyon | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | T D Dance | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kobla Mas | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risk Manager | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mount Athos | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beniah | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heavy Duty | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sermononthemount | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Henning | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Regular Guy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Star Guitar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Jus Lively | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Underpressure | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Relentless Dancer | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pound for Pound | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Maga Man | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Treys Midnite Moon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guitar Tribute | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Guitar Slim | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Mo U No | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jax Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.