March 27, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | City Tavern | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Integrity | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colton’s Command | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortified | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shaftesbury | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | War Bomber (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incitatus | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Going Beserk | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Tact Toe | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Si Como No | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Courageously | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Seizing the Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Palemma | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Core | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Campeador | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Musk | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Candy Crushem | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mystical Moon | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aycapote | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor D J | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Swing West | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zonic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Textpectation | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charlie the Greek | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mozo Bello | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Minister’s Strike | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Espresso Caliente | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Sanibel Island S. Presented By Us Foods
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | World Tour | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Libertee | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joy of Painting | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Get It | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hit the Woah | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coworth Park | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Line Dancing | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ball Lightning | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Sand Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Feel Glorious (GB) | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Art of Almost | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Melania | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abscond | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Niko’s Dream | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runway Dreamer | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Sir Shackleton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yodel E. A. Who | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Basin | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Letmeno | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Frosted Grace | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shivaree | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cool Arrow | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Town Classic | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hauntedbythemusic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Kitten’s Joy Appleton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Seismic Wave | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frostmourne | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Renaisance Frolic | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray’s Fable | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ever Dangerous | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Speighty | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Menace | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Mo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | American Heiress (GB) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Badger Kitten | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cadencia | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unshakable U | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Community Adjusted | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kind Ways | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Ordinary Time | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charges Dropped | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conundrum Queen | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | North Country Fair (GB) | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Plain | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Desdemona | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Never At All (FR) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ghostzapper S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Last Judgment | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eye of a Jedi | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Stopper | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Superfecto | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Whistle | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Slew (ARG) | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violent City | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sayyaaf | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chocolate Bar | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer to Remember | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Premio | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hay Dakota | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Noble Indy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blameless | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Mambo | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sand Dancer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fortune’s Fool | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nixon Joy (ARG) | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Pan American S. Presented By Rood And Riddle
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sadler’s Joy | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cross Border | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Sahib | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Temple | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Over Miami | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Churn N Burn | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rijeka (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angelus Warrior | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Cutler Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | King of Dreams | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hyperfocus | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Annex | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Law (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fighting Force | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Step Dancer | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fulmini | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | It Can Be Done | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whatmakessammyrun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Gulfstream Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Beautiful | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Millefeuille | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Con Lima | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pens Street | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bow Bow Girl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Len Lo Lady | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Competitive Speed | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Orchid S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sorrel (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Always Shopping | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Delta’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Belle Laura | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Morning Molly | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sister Hanan | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Like Goddess | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crystalle | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dizzy | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enjoyitwhilewecan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Curlin Florida Derby Presented By Hill ‘n’ Dale Farms At Xalapa
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Spielberg | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Known Agenda | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Collaborate | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greatest Honour | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Papetu | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nova Rags | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quantum Leap | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soup and Sandwich | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jirafales | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Passage | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sigiloso | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.