March 31, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grover Capote | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildfire Storm | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Prince | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reposado | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheveyo | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point to the Green | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Memories | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Escape the Galaxy | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Itsnotmyjob | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matt’s Pride | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starbuck Luck | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Justice | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dejoke’s Song | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Underrated | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sophisticated Girl | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Toshita Forever | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tribute Galaxy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bear Tooth Pass | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Come Eleven | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Limitless Mazie | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Customs Bella Ella | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madelyn’s Moment | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overly Sweet | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Beautiful Ending | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Rebel Star | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cabeza de Tortuga | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | St Maria | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saber Cut | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runpeggyrun | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sister Annette | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Now Estella | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Complete Court | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commercial Flash | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Birdie Call | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashyboy’s Lilsis | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Highly Centsable | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Bayou | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baudette Blizzard | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Much Bourbon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready Redding | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nomorequestions | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vivinsky | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat On the Roof | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bunkie’s Song | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugarland Express | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Always Late | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leyton’s Hippie | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashburn | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Noble | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Defatta | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Imdusty | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Streaker | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack’s Kiss | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Pokerface | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buy In | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Racer | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wayfaring Stranger | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Punky Monkey | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gentrified | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovethatcause | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tabia | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caymans Cobra | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ninth Street | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hatties Jewel | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Ice | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hooray Austin | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Masterly | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She Caused It | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Here Comes Linda | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Deezee Dial | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crapaud | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Valid Break | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hillhidollaryankee | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cherokeetin Xpress | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Pal Charlene | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landwoman’s Gift | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pricey | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stang’s Galaxy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laurel’s Cricket | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.