April 1, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hanging Lake | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Is My Prayer | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Milagros | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wish for Interest | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nickys Guitar | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twn Palmysdestiny | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dignityto Infinity | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Running Rosado | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Geaux Golden | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Running Unbridled | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spread the Faith | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Jack | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kensley’s Hippie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasin Gracie | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Apriority | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curtin’s Up | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trump Media | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Laughing Latinos | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coco’s Man | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lightning Harbour | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tin Delay | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flashlightsecurity | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Double Priority | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tap a Miracle | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ray’s Kimua | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kingprin | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smokey Gavin | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Pulpit | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Galloping Boots | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Revolt | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mistake Present | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Available Star | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam Skye | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zing Zang | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nastida Mast | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashing Angelbaby | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Calaja | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clocked in Tyme | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heather Divine | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elegant Orchid | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Madison’s Place | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shesthecatsmeow | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Film Study | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Streettalkinhottie | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Olivia’s Duchess | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rhett’s Racer | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Robber | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lullaby Bandit | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jittery Tom | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chatusa | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Custom K | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zcat’s Chatain | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Song Spectacular | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Bud | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Out War | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Therunawaycamp | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Izeonpoint | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Totally Grace | 1.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Left of the Dial | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dialed J | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Wicked Wish | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stone Top | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thirstyprospect | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bodie On Pointe | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tensas Thought | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Charlie Sioux | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | West Bank Baby | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matapan | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apple Dapple | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kris T. | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haynesfest | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bonita Springs | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madison’s Wild One | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nocomet | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iadanza | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kinlee’s Song | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Money Cometh | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kansas King | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sobek | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Exaggeration | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Robtadi Storm | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Vista | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Lucky Man | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.