April 5, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Fitz | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Berti | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coast Guardsman | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mail Man Johnny | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feller | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapped to the Max | 1.80 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crusader Express | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chairman Moo | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goddard | 1.60 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Design | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balky | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Power | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Fast | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonny Gets Blue | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Elisher | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy’s Prospector | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Ridge Boogie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silky’s Dance | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justa Buster | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Subject to Call | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tdz What a Dream | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Band’s Luck | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kannon With a K | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tigard Babes | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Peytonwegotdonuts | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Impressive Greely | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | New Orleans Spice | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Bet | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Trip | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Priority | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Flash | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palmettovowmenot | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Money Inthe Starrs | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Exton | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Image | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greeley’s Dealer | 1.80 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Binding | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Andy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Singinginthewind | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Vow | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queeten | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Greeley | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Social Misfit | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Barbara | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alys Episode | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fearless Dixie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suspect the Worst | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fickle Flash | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swanee Beach | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salt Life Angel | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mave Runner | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Typhoon Zing | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | River Rain | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Enough Heart | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sharperthanme | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | On Tilt | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sent’s Galaxy | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Move It | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chitto | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’suptoyoupal | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Twister | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Superconductor | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Etney John | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Saintsgotrobbed | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Alan’s Argument | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Dusty Boy | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Henning | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Your Time’s Coming | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Magawildtime | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Venn | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Commander Scott | 1.80 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pleasant Vision | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dodger | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Meet Kevin | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scarlettsblackjack | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Smack | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aw Shucks | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Colliery | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’yeti Man | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corruze | 1.80 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Privacy | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Want a Picture | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sister Secret Lee | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Perfection | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Witchy Devil | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Guera | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speak Briley | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Birdcatmouse | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tough Bama Belle | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Belinda | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Padioli | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful Ending | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Em’s Miss Prado | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.