April 8, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pintlala | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spanish Exchange | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Overly Sweet | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cabeza de Tortuga | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St Maria | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Can Dream | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stone Classic | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dolly Emmons | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hotmolly | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sincerity | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Isle Girl | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s My Priority | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grace Forever | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gator Proud | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Mom | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ugottago | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Party With Kassidy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wildabout Audrey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sho Nuff | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Queen | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alhambra Palace | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sandra’s Juel | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sophie’s Prayer | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Akiane’s Soldier | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Ridge Queen | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mean American | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kasen’s Sister | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Aphrodites Revenge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fredonian | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Britts a Closer | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Little Man | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muffin Nuts | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kurts Raider | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dance Kingdom | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Croque Monsieur (GB) | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muscadine | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Priority | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Skykat | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bar Tap | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Gigi | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Juanandora | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Will B Late | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lyonaisse | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zugersee | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hurricane Tizway | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Mallory’s On | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wasnt Joking | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Get Directions | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ova Charged | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alimony Blues | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Warrior | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harriet’s Dream | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kiddo Town | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hennys Grinning | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss E. Fu | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Undeniably Devine | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Molli Way | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Outlaw X. | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Song N a Cat | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shae’s Day | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Half Ours N Stormy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Imdusty | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Seeley | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Bayou | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Broad Decision | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Daddy Cool Cat | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | That’s D ‘cat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Affair | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Blindness | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Tiz One Fee | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sebs Princess | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Saber Cut | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Thirsty | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orb’s Soul | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hero of Gold | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Darpa | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lookout Mountain | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Zebecca | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Berko | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Blaster | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steppin’ Outonher | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Pal Torres | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oneholylion | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Medal of Courage | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sonoma Crush | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Buddy Chuck | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormation | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alluring Actor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Colonel Pike | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sr. Clarky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.