April 8, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Fortunate Son | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moonshine Moment | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lou’s Arrow | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roll Dinero Roll | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Corredor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Cussing | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Storm Classic | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heros R Cowboys | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risky Situation | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kat’s Hitman | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pure Iron | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Kinda Teton | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paynter Party | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sea of Hope | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turn the Switch | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handy | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jacks Fire Balls | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Gus | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Draw the Line | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Street Toll | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master Kev | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Super Brother | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | We Be There | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tycoon | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inthealy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stud Puppy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ash Flat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galilee | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Title Shot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cabertoss | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Allen | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tapalist | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bear Oak | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Have a Plan | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carte Blanche | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Derby Code | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Uncle Gregory | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Majestic John’s | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Botswana Taps | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fay Dan | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Englander | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pizza Charlie | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power Burst | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heroic Song | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mega Max | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Murdo | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fixation | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tillis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crown Jewel | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candura | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cynical Girl | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Break Curfew | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Antioch | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Final Form | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lay M Out | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Drinkatthecreek | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shez Stuck Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wild Combo | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shes Got It | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Super Steamy | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Livingmybestlife | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viva Violence | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’sskysthelimit | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Making Progress | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beauty Contest | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lofthouse | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | I’m Stylin | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Church Service | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Josie | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alta’s Award | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | W W Fitzy | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Coral | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s All Wolfe | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Singita Dreams | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sara Sea | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Astrologer | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Incorrigible | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Reinsure | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Biz | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Day Trip | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rogallo | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Critic | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Georgia Deputy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wings Up | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Mistake | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Foxy Ace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Digital Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Hard to Park | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shake It | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.